Next Summers Top 20 at the Box Office!

I can guess the top 3 will be

Transformers
Harry Potter
Pirates of the Carribean

I don't believe Captain America will be much competition.While most people have heard of the character, very little people outside of the fans know anything specific about the character.Even though it's leading up to the Avengers, that period setting is probably going to hurt it.

1.harry potter
2.thor
3.captain america
4.green lantern
5.pirates of the caribbean 4
6.transformers 3
7.cars 2
8.x-men fist ass
9.rise of the apes
10.cowboys & aliens

Transformers in the top 3.....yeah maybe. But after that last one and no megan fox..... i wonder.
Potter will definatally do good cause its part of the last book of the series. And i have a lot of faith in green lantern. But a lot of it is up to marketing!

Ok here is how I break it down

The Big 6 are Thor, Pirates 4, Green Lantern, Transformers 3, Harry Potter and Captain America.

First off, all 3 Pirates movies have crossed the 300 million plateau, with the second one getting 400+ million. All the Harry Potter films have gotten 250 million or more, and since this is the LAST one and the grand finale, it will get 300 million. Both Transformers movies have gotten 300 million, the second one got over 400 million.

Again the Marketing does have a lot to do with it. Lets break this down.


Thor has 2 weeks pretty much to itself. When the trailer leaked, it was the top trending topic on Twitter, hammering that little Justin dweeb from the top. The positive buzz about the trailer and the positive buzz about it right now will help, I havent heard too much negative stuff about it right now. I expect Thor to open to 80-100 million, and I think it has a chance to cross 300 million. I dont see how you think the studio is not confident about Thor, Marvel and Paramount are very confident about it.

Pirates 4 has a few weeks to itself, opening on May 20, and it has always raked in the dough, and it has Memorial Day weekend the next week, and I think it will top Hangover 2 cause there really isnt a point to make another Hangover movie.

X-Men First Class I dont think will make a lot. Negative buzz already, if the negative buzz continues, and if it is bad, it will drop money wise fast. Also Hugh Jackman isnt in it, and Wolverine has really been the big draw with the X-Men movies.

Fast 5 might get moved, the 4th one was moved from June up to April and set an April opening weekend record, it would be smart to move it, though the previous 3 opened on that same weekend in June and did well.

Green Lantern will more than likely get 100 million opening weekend. Again, the big 6 are all in 3D as well, and the jacked up 3D prices help at the box office. Already has buzz cause of the EW cover, people know about it now. Not much strong competition in June for GL, it will own June.

No guarantee Cars 2 will be a smash. Just because it is Pixar doesnt guarantee it will make it. It opens the week AFTER GL, that may hurt it.

Transformers 3 has owned the 4th of July weekend, it will get a lot, the previous 2 did, it will again

Harry Potter is pretty much a guarantee 100 million plus opening weekend regardless, especially since this is the grand finale

Captain America probably will be good, but opening the week AFTER Harry Potter may hurt its dollar amount. It will likely be # 1, but if it gets 80 million, that will be a milestone because it opens the week after the highest grossing franchise ever.

Cowboys and Aliens will likely be a surprise hit, you have James Bond and Indiana Jones in the same movie, that will draw people to the box office.

Smurfs, why please tell me why, I hated the cartoon as a kid, this is up there with Alvin and the Chipmunks, Why please why

Harry Potter, Transformers and Pirates will reach 300 million. I think Thor and Green Lantern are wild cards to get 300, Cap will likely cross or get close to 200 million, I cant push for 300 million because it opens the week AFTER Potter.

I really can not see Thor getting to close to the top unless they promote the hell out of it. People just don't know it.
Pirates of the Caribbean will be big same as Potter. Captain America will do okay as long as they don't play it off as America saves the world during world war two, because the world at the moment isn't pro USA enough for them to get away with it I think.

twenty- if they do that it will be stupid that America saves the world because is world war 2 and every1 knows in world war 2 there were sides and country's and state work together so it wasn't just America that saved the world it was teamwork. and i know that you talking about captain America but usa never got in the war like towards the end of it.

Pirates 4, Transformers 3, and Harry Potter are sure to top 300 mil. It's becoming evident that negative buzz about a CBM spreads like plague and will put one out of the box office fast if it isn't good. And while we all like what we see thus far regarding Thor, GL, and Cap, we won't know until we see them. If they are in fact good, then all 3 could easily break the 300 mil mark as well, but if one falters, the internet will burn it down. I think so many CBM fans (not simply referring to only people who visit this site specifically) are so militant about how their movies are made, that the first sign that things are afoul provokes them in droves to illegally download the movies instead of paying. I think this is exactly what will happen with X-Men First Class, sooo many people already have a [frick]it attitude and are generating sooo much negativity that sizable movie going audience will watch it without paying. Someone said it best I believe when they said, "Comic fanboys will be the Death of CBM's."

Hey if we all try hard we could make a great CBM number one next year for box office best

Interesting thoughts all around but very hard to make guesses about movies so far from release. Kinda fun to read though.

@tazmaniak

I have to disagree with you about Captain America. In fact he stands right up there with Superman and Batman. When he died in the comics it was news across the planet. Last time that happened was with Superman a number of years ago.

Captain America is a Marvel name but unlike most (X-Men, Fantastic Four, Avengers) he was not created in the 1960s but pre-1940.

brazilianbatman- transformer is a movie to have fun seeing it and people like it for what it is thats why it will be huge in 2011